Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 6.065862 6.678076 7.354142 8.161574 9.106946 10.187934 11.530904
2024-10-13 4.949018 5.721454 6.640768 7.834962 9.375289 11.339910 14.113841
2024-10-20 4.288446 5.110679 6.136882 7.546301 9.491019 12.179501 16.379860
2024-10-27 3.864051 4.711272 5.807703 7.381051 9.674691 13.070983 18.885473
2024-11-03 3.569996 4.436281 5.592162 7.314836 9.952237 14.113973 21.905140
2024-11-10 3.477554 4.413023 5.704530 7.714594 10.975204 16.539089 28.246713
2024-11-17 3.326223 4.289880 5.656204 7.857649 11.602977 18.438462 34.450559
2024-11-24 3.121360 4.071665 5.444689 7.712829 11.709727 19.388639 39.005470
2024-12-01 2.964456 3.909589 5.300355 7.655009 11.953724 20.663814 45.125392
2024-12-08 2.800015 3.724283 5.103939 7.485727 11.959820 21.434324 50.337373
2024-12-15 2.682717 3.601191 4.993648 7.449535 12.212318 22.822602 58.601034
2024-12-22 2.575829 3.486719 4.887432 7.407335 12.443430 24.228000 68.280198
2024-12-29 2.511067 3.441125 4.901738 7.608928 13.275278 27.615778 91.677470
2025-01-05 2.360187 3.253743 4.671543 7.338464 13.052396 28.117968 102.568974
2025-01-12 2.225133 3.083657 4.458249 7.077967 12.809682 28.501382 114.048359
2025-01-19 2.121453 2.957602 4.310328 6.927685 12.796589 29.605082 133.503806
2025-01-26 2.041639 2.865385 4.213630 6.867380 12.988137 31.477230 165.747094
2025-02-02 2.034916 2.890962 4.322342 7.231165 14.311429 38.100441 289.418599
2025-02-09 1.992528 2.854836 4.318434 7.361141 15.064671 43.162060 467.028296
2025-02-16 1.916317 2.758082 4.198323 7.229561 15.072316 45.051422 620.705129
2025-02-23 1.856158 2.685586 4.118076 7.176996 15.298791 48.186805 943.773808
2025-03-02 1.786614 2.594030 3.997251 7.022998 15.199439 49.671977 1306.808000
2025-03-09 1.736996 2.534482 3.932771 6.990054 15.464401 53.399452 2434.021484